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LESAKA TECHNOLOGIES INC (LSAK)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered strong top-line growth with GAAP Revenue $168.5M (+14% YoY) and Net Revenue (non-GAAP) $82.0M (+47% YoY), while Group Adjusted EBITDA rose 61% YoY to $16.7M; GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.35 and Adjusted EPS was $0.05 .
- Management reaffirmed FY2026 profitability outlook and introduced Adjusted EPS guidance of at least ZAR 4.60 (>100% YoY), and gave Q1 FY2026 ranges for Net Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA; guidance explicitly excludes the BankZero acquisition impact .
- The quarter was affected by several non-cash and once-off items (goodwill impairment, accelerated intangible amortization, MobiKwik fair-value change, and transaction costs), which masked underlying EBITDA strength; management emphasized consistent delivery vs guidance over 12 consecutive quarters .
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 FY2025 was EPS -$0.01* and Revenue $131.0M*; S&P recorded actual EPS $0.05* and actual Revenue $231.7M*, while company-reported GAAP Revenue was $168.5M—both suggest a revenue beat versus consensus, with definitional/restatement effects driving the discrepancy [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong Net Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth: Net Revenue +47% YoY to $82.0M and Group Adjusted EBITDA +61% YoY to $16.7M; Adjusted EPS rose to $0.05 (vs $0.02 last year), highlighting operational momentum .
- Consumer division outperformance: Net Revenue $27.9M (+44% YoY) and Adjusted EBITDA $8.9M (+106% YoY), driven by active customer growth, lending and insurance cross-sell; “Adjusted earnings per share… grew by 211% to R0.99 [Q4]” .
- Merchant integration showing early margin uplift: Operating margins improved from 19% in Q3 to 23% in Q4 as brands consolidate under Lesaka and cross-sell accelerates; management expects further efficiency extraction .
What Went Wrong
- Significant non-cash and once-off charges widened GAAP losses: goodwill impairments (~ZAR 335M), accelerated intangible amortization (ZAR 46M in Q4; ~ZAR 160M expected next year), MobiKwik fair-value change (ZAR 101M), and transaction costs (ZAR 239M) .
- Enterprise division was a build year: FY adjusted EBITDA only ZAR 24M (Q4 ZAR 15M including ZAR 17M restructuring costs), though Q4 run-rate without restructuring implies >ZAR 30M per quarter going forward .
- Restatement uncertainty temporarily impacted guidance disclosure: On Sep 10, Lesaka withdrew previously provided FY2026 Revenue guidance due to restatement, later reaffirming Net Revenue guidance on Sep 29 after final disclosures .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown – Q4 FY2025:
Key KPIs:
Vs S&P Global consensus (Q4 FY2025):
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “FY2025 was a strong year for the Group, delivering on our profitability guidance… we are guiding for adjusted EBITDA growth of at least 35%. We… expect adjusted earnings per share to more than double in FY2026 to at least ZAR 4.60” — Chairman Ali Mazanderani .
- “Q4’s performance with group adjusted EBITDA in excess of R300 million provides a good indication of our current quarterly earnings run rate… before seasonality, organic growth, and cost savings” — CFO commentary .
- “We recorded ZAR 239M of transaction costs… ZAR 46M accelerated amortization… ZAR 335M goodwill impairments… loss of ZAR 101M on sale of MobiKwik… and ZAR 210M deferred tax allowance reversal benefit” — CFO breakdown of non-cash/once-off items .
- “BankZero will enable Lesaka to offer merchant bank accounts… and reduce gross debt by about R1 billion… as we build customer deposits” — Strategic rationale .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth ranking (Consumer): Focus on account growth (Postbank migrations ~20%), lending product expansion, and insurance beyond EPE base; medium-term expansion with BankZero .
- BankZero integration: Detailed plans ready; ~45 people to integrate; profitability expected near closing; timeline targeted by Mar/Apr, before end of FY2026; swift movement of consumer/merchant books dependent on deposit base .
- Goodwill impairment detail: Impairments at specific CGUs within acquired groups (e.g., Adumo sub-units), reflecting cash flow expectations differences; overall aggregate valuations comfortable, but accounting requires write-downs .
- Competitive landscape: Banks targeting SME validates TAM; Lesaka differentiated by integrated multi-product offering and proprietary distribution; not a market proxy—insurgent with small share and large TAM .
- Regulatory tone: SA Reserve Bank moving in the right direction on payment system openness; Association feedback absorbed; awaiting final proposals .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q4 FY2025: EPS -$0.01*, Revenue $131.0M*. S&P records actual EPS $0.05* and actual Revenue $231.668M*, while Lesaka’s company-reported GAAP Revenue was $168.467M—both imply a revenue beat vs consensus; the divergence likely reflects restatement-driven classification and differences in “revenue” definitions (GAAP vs adjusted/aggregated) [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
- Adjusted EPS of $0.05 (company) exceeded EPS consensus -$0.01*, while GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.35—sell-side anchors appear closer to adjusted metrics in S&P’s “Primary EPS” [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Implication: Estimates may need upward revisions for Net Revenue/Adjusted EBITDA trajectory into FY2026 given the Q4 run-rate (>R300M Adjusted EBITDA) and reaffirmed ranges; caution that non-cash/once-off items will not carry forward .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 demonstrated robust underlying growth with Group Adjusted EBITDA strength; non-cash and once-off items obscured GAAP profitability but do not impair operating trajectory .
- Reaffirmed FY2026 Net Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance, plus new Adjusted EPS target (≥ZAR 4.60), provide a clear profitability roadmap; near-term Q1 FY2026 guidance will serve as a validation checkpoint .
- Merchant integration is yielding margin uplift (19%→23% QoQ) and cross-sell momentum across payments, software, cash, lending; expect continued efficiency gains and ARPU expansion .
- Consumer remains a growth engine with rising active base, ARPU, and lending/insurance penetration; credit quality stable (~6% loss ratio), supporting sustainable monetization .
- Enterprise is pivoting from restructuring to contribution (>ZAR 30M/quarter run-rate implied excl. restructuring), with bank/retail integrations and Recharger scale providing tailwinds .
- BankZero is a strategic catalyst to enhance product breadth, reduce funding costs, and lower gross debt (~R1B), with integration readiness and regulatory timelines targeted by early 2026 .
- Near-term trading: Watch for 10-K audit completion and restatement filings, Q1 FY2026 print vs ranges, and updates on BankZero approvals—positive beats on these catalysts can re-rate sentiment.
Citations:
Press release prelim and restatement details
8-K prelim (Item 2.02, non-GAAP framework, reconciliations)
8-K final and press release with GAAP Revenue added; segment detail and reconciliations
Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript
Prior quarters PRs (Q2/Q3 FY2025)
Note: Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.